-



 ,   :
1) - (University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index);
2) Conference Board -  (Consumer Confidence Index);
ABC News and Money - .
( 6 12 ) - , ,  .. / :
1) 100 + % - % ;
2) / ( + );
3) - (4- ).
( , ) - .



 ; ,  - recovery expansion.  , :  , , ..  ( , 1987 .,  1991 ., ..)